On Monday, the dollar rose on concerns about the
weakness of the U.S. banking sector due to news of a possible increase to 40 per
cent share of the state in Citigroup. On Tuesday, «green» lost its achievements
against key European currencies but rose against the Japanese yen. The Japanese
yen has fallen against all currencies. This contributed to a breakthrough as a
technically important level in the pair dollar / Yen and the burst stop orders,
and the growth of the stock market. On Wednesday, the dollar rose again on the
decline wants to risk it. All grown up prior to the «green» currency fell after
the stock markets. At the same time, the growth of pair dollar / yen has
continued. On Thursday, U.S. data on durable goods orders came out worse than
predicted values. Moreover, previous data have been revised downward. Sales in
the primary housing market showed more than desyatiprotsentnoe decline. This
resulted in a decline in stock markets. Despite this, the Japanese yen continued
its decline in second against the U.S. dollar. On Friday, could be observed
before the consolidation of couples. If in the early days of «green» bought up
for the weakness of the stock indices and the decision to support one of the
largest banks in the U.S., then in the second half of the day followed by
reverse movement after the publication of the GDP of America for the fourth
quarter. Yen was able to gain a few positions due to the closure of the last day
of the month on a fixed income. Thus, last week, the major pairs, except for the
dollar / yen, moving in the frames of consolidation. A pair of the same dollar /
yen has grown, the sample, the major resistance levels.
This week,
expect a lot of interesting publications, among which are: indicators of
economic activity in the EU and the U.S., the cost of construction in America,
and retail sales in the EU, decisions on rates in England, the ECB and the labor
market in the states. It should be noted that the current trend deterioration of
the economies of developed countries have not yet been questioned. However, that
five days is very interesting recent statistics already in 2009. Started
counting the first quarter GDP. And if there are any hints of stabilization of
the state's largest economies, we can make the first assessment. Note that the
new negative only support movement in the direction of «quiet haven», which has
a clear green color. In addition, players will await the results of meetings of
central banks of England and the euro. Although ryki have to take into account
the decline in the next ECB's key rate and saving rate the Bank of England will
wait until all applications on the next steps regulators. If a ommentariev again
no, or they will re-general (the players want to learn about other active steps
in addition to the Central Bank changes the key rate), it will have pressure on
European currencies. On this down until the markets do not get the arguments for
buying the dollar competitors, so the movement of the week can save vyaluyu
activity of the dominance of «green», if not unexpected news. Friday may be one
of the most controversial days of the week, and interesting in terms of
speculation.